IMAPCT ANALYSIS OF COVID-19 PANDEMIC AND DECARBONIZATION ON JAPANESE MARITIME TRADE VOLUME

The COVID-19 pandemic since 2020 has caused diverse impact on the economy and maritime transport. In the same year, achieving carbon neutral by 2050 was declared in JAPAN, and the conversion of fossil fuel to renewable energy has rapidly developed. In the cargo estimation of port planning, it is necessary to consider the impact of these structural changes since 2020. This study estimated prospects for future change of maritime trade volume based on impact analysis of COVID-19 pandemic and decarbonization on Japanese maritime trade volume. As a result, it was revealed trade volume of 18 items will possibly change their trends: export of agricultural, forestry, fishery products and foods, import of woody biomass, export and import of storage battery, export of semiconductor manufacturing equipment will increase; and import of crude oil, export of video equipment, import of pulp and paper will decrease.