ESTIMATING SOCCER RESULTS IN THE ISRAELI LEAGUE

In this paper, we suggest a method that uses past soccer tournament results to estimate the probabilities for the various possible scores of soccer game matches.Given forecasted probabilities, we try to have the best guess for bets concerning the results in the Israeli league. We applied the method...

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Veröffentlicht in:	The journal of gambling business and economics 2013-01, Vol.5 (2), p.23-41
Hauptverfasser:	Ben-David, Nissim, Evyatar, Ben David
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Forecasting techniques Gambling Probability Professional soccer
Online-Zugang:	Volltext
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Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:	In this paper, we suggest a method that uses past soccer tournament results to estimate the probabilities for the various possible scores of soccer game matches.Given forecasted probabilities, we try to have the best guess for bets concerning the results in the Israeli league. We applied the method for estimating the probabilities of wining, losing or ending in a tie for any possible future match amongst the sixteen premier Israeli league teams. The method we suggest may be used for sport bets for decreasing cost while improving the probability of success.
ISSN:	1751-7990 1751-8008
DOI:	10.5750/jgbe.v5i2.568