Econometric Analysis of Stock Market Performance during COVID-19 Pandemic: A Case Study of Uzbekistan Stock Market

This article highlights the impact of the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19). COVID-19 pandemic on the stock market of Uzbekistan on the basis of empirical research and the main factors affecting the stock market are identified as well. Secondary statistical data were collected from the Tashkent Stock Exchange, the Central Bank of the Republic of Uzbekistan, the State Statistics Committee of the Republic of Uzbekistan and other public funds, and the regression equation of the SEM-model of the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the stock market of Uzbekistan was formed. In particular, indicators such as the latest daily and total number of people infected with Covid-19 in the Republic of Uzbekistan, the total number of recovered people after being infected with Covid-19, the total number of people who died of the disease, the daily number of recovered people post-infection, the stock market index of Uzbekistan, Uzbekistan Indicators such as the number of daily securities traded on the Republican Stock Exchange "Tashkent", the exchange rate of the US dollar set by the Central Bank of the Republic of Uzbekistan were selected as the main factors. The constructed regression equation was examined using F-statistics, Student’s t-test, and multicorrelation tests to determine the level of adequacy. The authors identify factors based on a systematic analysis of the scientific work of world-renowned scientists on major stock markets and creates a SEM-model of the factors affecting the Uzbek stock market during the pandemic.