Integrated Logistical Support Based on Probabilistic Guaranteed Assessment of the Aircraft Condition

Current approaches to the formulation of integrated logistical support systems for aviation engineering are considered, along with their potential for improvement. A method is described for probabilistic guaranteed assessment of risks associated with the condition of the aircraft, for purposes of integrated logistical support. The proposed method is used in assessing the condition of aircraft systems in terms of a quantile. By the proposed method, predictions of the remaining life of the aircraft’s gas-turbine engine are assessed in terms of accuracy, on the basis of flight data from the NASA repository.