Instantaneous volatility seasonality of high-frequency markets in directional-change intrinsic time

We propose a novel intraday instantaneous volatility measure which utilises sequences of drawdowns and drawups non-equidistantly spaced in physical time as indicators of high-frequency activity of financial markets. The sequences are re-expressed in terms of directional-change intrinsic time which t...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Journal of risk and financial management 2019-06, Vol.12 (2), p.1-31
Hauptverfasser: Petrov, Vladimir, Golub, Anton, Olsen, Richard
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:Volltext
Tags: Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:We propose a novel intraday instantaneous volatility measure which utilises sequences of drawdowns and drawups non-equidistantly spaced in physical time as indicators of high-frequency activity of financial markets. The sequences are re-expressed in terms of directional-change intrinsic time which ticks only when the price curve changes the direction of its trend by a given relative value. We employ the proposed measure to uncover weekly volatility seasonality patterns of three Forex and one Bitcoin exchange rates, as well as a stock market index. We demonstrate the long memory of instantaneous volatility computed in directional-change intrinsic time. The provided volatility estimation method can be adapted as a universal multiscale risk-management tool independent of the discreteness and the type of analysed high-frequency data.
ISSN:1911-8074
1911-8066
1911-8074
DOI:10.3390/jrfm12020054