Study on the influence of urban construction land expansion on carbon emission based on VAR Model - a case study of Nanchang City

In the context of promoting high-quality economic development, it is of great significance to study the relationship between the expansion of urban construction land and carbon emission for the transformation of economic development mode and the implementation of green and low-carbon development. Based on the time series data of Nanchang City from 1995 to 2017, this paper analyzes the relationship between urban construction land expansion and carbon emission by constructing carbon emission measurement model, VAR model, using co integration test, Granger causality test, pulse analysis and other research methods. The results show that there is a co integration relationship between urban construction land expansion and carbon emissions, and Granger causality test shows that urban construction land expansion is the Granger cause of carbon emissions, while impulse response analysis confirms that the impact of urban construction land expansion on carbon emissions at the early stage is not significant, and the subsequent impact increases gradually, and the impact on carbon emissions will reach a stable state when urbanization is mature And put forward policy suggestions.