Equilibrium in misspecified Markov decision processes

We provide an equilibrium framework for modeling the behavior of an agent who holds a simplified view of a dynamic optimization problem. The agent faces a Markov Decision Process, where a transition probability function determines the evolution of a state variable as a function of the previous state...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Theoretical economics 2021-05, Vol.16 (2), p.717-757
Hauptverfasser: Esponda, Ignacio, Pouzo, Demian
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:Volltext
Tags: Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
container_end_page 757
container_issue 2
container_start_page 717
container_title Theoretical economics
container_volume 16
creator Esponda, Ignacio
Pouzo, Demian
description We provide an equilibrium framework for modeling the behavior of an agent who holds a simplified view of a dynamic optimization problem. The agent faces a Markov Decision Process, where a transition probability function determines the evolution of a state variable as a function of the previous state and the agent's action. The agent is uncertain about the true transition function and has a prior over a set of possible transition functions; this set reflects the agent's (possibly simplified) view of her environment and may not contain the true function. We define an equilibrium concept and provide conditions under which it characterizes steady-state behavior when the agent updates her beliefs using Bayes' rule.
doi_str_mv 10.3982/TE3843
format Article
fullrecord <record><control><sourceid>gale_proqu</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_proquest_journals_2526468786</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><galeid>A737048835</galeid><sourcerecordid>A737048835</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c5392-27ae929f6916ba7104a482c9f4f90c5bef78666525ee86af21da3819e063937d3</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNp1kEtLAzEUhYMoWKv-A2FAcDc178eylPEBFTd1HdJMIqmdmTbpKP33poxgXZi7uLnhO-eQC8A1ghOiJL5fVERScgJGiDFWCsbR6dH9HFyktIKQ5oNGgFXbPqzDMoa-KUJbNCGljbPBB1cXLyZ-dJ9FnecUurbYxM66lFy6BGferJO7-ulj8PZQLWZP5fz18Xk2nZeWEYVLLIxTWHmuEF8agSA1VGKrPPUKWrZ0XkjOOcPMOcmNx6g2RCLlICeKiJqMwe3gm5O3vUs7ver62OZIjRnmlMtskKnJQL2btdOh9d0uGpurdk2wXet8yO9TQQSkUhKWBXeDwMYupei83sTQmLjXCOrDDvWwwwwWA-iyTUi_mOBYSS7IUfhXDtn_Y6QXT9UMQ4gozoKbP56HlnZdzD8iVAnyDcayg5E</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>2526468786</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>Equilibrium in misspecified Markov decision processes</title><source>Access via Wiley Online Library</source><source>Wiley Online Library Open Access</source><source>EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals</source><creator>Esponda, Ignacio ; Pouzo, Demian</creator><creatorcontrib>Esponda, Ignacio ; Pouzo, Demian</creatorcontrib><description>We provide an equilibrium framework for modeling the behavior of an agent who holds a simplified view of a dynamic optimization problem. The agent faces a Markov Decision Process, where a transition probability function determines the evolution of a state variable as a function of the previous state and the agent's action. The agent is uncertain about the true transition function and has a prior over a set of possible transition functions; this set reflects the agent's (possibly simplified) view of her environment and may not contain the true function. We define an equilibrium concept and provide conditions under which it characterizes steady-state behavior when the agent updates her beliefs using Bayes' rule.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1555-7561</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1933-6837</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1555-7561</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.3982/TE3843</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>New Haven, CT: The Econometric Society</publisher><subject>Agents ; Analysis ; C61 ; Cost control ; D83 ; Economic theory ; Equilibrium ; Growth models ; Macroeconomics ; Markov decision process ; Markov processes ; Misspecified model ; Optimization</subject><ispartof>Theoretical economics, 2021-05, Vol.16 (2), p.717-757</ispartof><rights>Copyright © 2021 The Authors.</rights><rights>COPYRIGHT 2021 John Wiley &amp; Sons, Inc.</rights><rights>2021. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c5392-27ae929f6916ba7104a482c9f4f90c5bef78666525ee86af21da3819e063937d3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c5392-27ae929f6916ba7104a482c9f4f90c5bef78666525ee86af21da3819e063937d3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.3982%2FTE3843$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.3982%2FTE3843$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,1417,11562,27924,27925,45574,45575,46052,46476</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Esponda, Ignacio</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pouzo, Demian</creatorcontrib><title>Equilibrium in misspecified Markov decision processes</title><title>Theoretical economics</title><description>We provide an equilibrium framework for modeling the behavior of an agent who holds a simplified view of a dynamic optimization problem. The agent faces a Markov Decision Process, where a transition probability function determines the evolution of a state variable as a function of the previous state and the agent's action. The agent is uncertain about the true transition function and has a prior over a set of possible transition functions; this set reflects the agent's (possibly simplified) view of her environment and may not contain the true function. We define an equilibrium concept and provide conditions under which it characterizes steady-state behavior when the agent updates her beliefs using Bayes' rule.</description><subject>Agents</subject><subject>Analysis</subject><subject>C61</subject><subject>Cost control</subject><subject>D83</subject><subject>Economic theory</subject><subject>Equilibrium</subject><subject>Growth models</subject><subject>Macroeconomics</subject><subject>Markov decision process</subject><subject>Markov processes</subject><subject>Misspecified model</subject><subject>Optimization</subject><issn>1555-7561</issn><issn>1933-6837</issn><issn>1555-7561</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2021</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>24P</sourceid><sourceid>WIN</sourceid><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><recordid>eNp1kEtLAzEUhYMoWKv-A2FAcDc178eylPEBFTd1HdJMIqmdmTbpKP33poxgXZi7uLnhO-eQC8A1ghOiJL5fVERScgJGiDFWCsbR6dH9HFyktIKQ5oNGgFXbPqzDMoa-KUJbNCGljbPBB1cXLyZ-dJ9FnecUurbYxM66lFy6BGferJO7-ulj8PZQLWZP5fz18Xk2nZeWEYVLLIxTWHmuEF8agSA1VGKrPPUKWrZ0XkjOOcPMOcmNx6g2RCLlICeKiJqMwe3gm5O3vUs7ver62OZIjRnmlMtskKnJQL2btdOh9d0uGpurdk2wXet8yO9TQQSkUhKWBXeDwMYupei83sTQmLjXCOrDDvWwwwwWA-iyTUi_mOBYSS7IUfhXDtn_Y6QXT9UMQ4gozoKbP56HlnZdzD8iVAnyDcayg5E</recordid><startdate>202105</startdate><enddate>202105</enddate><creator>Esponda, Ignacio</creator><creator>Pouzo, Demian</creator><general>The Econometric Society</general><general>John Wiley &amp; Sons, Inc</general><scope>OT2</scope><scope>24P</scope><scope>WIN</scope><scope>OQ6</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7WY</scope><scope>7WZ</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>87Z</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>8FL</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BEZIV</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>FRNLG</scope><scope>F~G</scope><scope>JBE</scope><scope>K60</scope><scope>K6~</scope><scope>L.-</scope><scope>M0C</scope><scope>PIMPY</scope><scope>PQBIZ</scope><scope>PQBZA</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>PYYUZ</scope><scope>Q9U</scope></search><sort><creationdate>202105</creationdate><title>Equilibrium in misspecified Markov decision processes</title><author>Esponda, Ignacio ; Pouzo, Demian</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c5392-27ae929f6916ba7104a482c9f4f90c5bef78666525ee86af21da3819e063937d3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2021</creationdate><topic>Agents</topic><topic>Analysis</topic><topic>C61</topic><topic>Cost control</topic><topic>D83</topic><topic>Economic theory</topic><topic>Equilibrium</topic><topic>Growth models</topic><topic>Macroeconomics</topic><topic>Markov decision process</topic><topic>Markov processes</topic><topic>Misspecified model</topic><topic>Optimization</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Esponda, Ignacio</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pouzo, Demian</creatorcontrib><collection>EconStor</collection><collection>Wiley Online Library Open Access</collection><collection>Wiley Online Library Free Content</collection><collection>ECONIS</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>Access via ABI/INFORM (ProQuest)</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global (PDF only)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central UK/Ireland</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Essentials</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>Business Premium Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Korea</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>Business Premium Collection (Alumni)</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global (Corporate)</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>ProQuest Business Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Business Collection</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Professional Advanced</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global</collection><collection>Access via ProQuest (Open Access)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Business</collection><collection>ProQuest One Business (Alumni)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>ProQuest Central China</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Collection China</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Basic</collection><jtitle>Theoretical economics</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Esponda, Ignacio</au><au>Pouzo, Demian</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Equilibrium in misspecified Markov decision processes</atitle><jtitle>Theoretical economics</jtitle><date>2021-05</date><risdate>2021</risdate><volume>16</volume><issue>2</issue><spage>717</spage><epage>757</epage><pages>717-757</pages><issn>1555-7561</issn><issn>1933-6837</issn><eissn>1555-7561</eissn><abstract>We provide an equilibrium framework for modeling the behavior of an agent who holds a simplified view of a dynamic optimization problem. The agent faces a Markov Decision Process, where a transition probability function determines the evolution of a state variable as a function of the previous state and the agent's action. The agent is uncertain about the true transition function and has a prior over a set of possible transition functions; this set reflects the agent's (possibly simplified) view of her environment and may not contain the true function. We define an equilibrium concept and provide conditions under which it characterizes steady-state behavior when the agent updates her beliefs using Bayes' rule.</abstract><cop>New Haven, CT</cop><pub>The Econometric Society</pub><doi>10.3982/TE3843</doi><tpages>41</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
fulltext fulltext
identifier ISSN: 1555-7561
ispartof Theoretical economics, 2021-05, Vol.16 (2), p.717-757
issn 1555-7561
1933-6837
1555-7561
language eng
recordid cdi_proquest_journals_2526468786
source Access via Wiley Online Library; Wiley Online Library Open Access; EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals
subjects Agents
Analysis
C61
Cost control
D83
Economic theory
Equilibrium
Growth models
Macroeconomics
Markov decision process
Markov processes
Misspecified model
Optimization
title Equilibrium in misspecified Markov decision processes
url https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2024-12-20T07%3A54%3A36IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-gale_proqu&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Equilibrium%20in%20misspecified%20Markov%20decision%20processes&rft.jtitle=Theoretical%20economics&rft.au=Esponda,%20Ignacio&rft.date=2021-05&rft.volume=16&rft.issue=2&rft.spage=717&rft.epage=757&rft.pages=717-757&rft.issn=1555-7561&rft.eissn=1555-7561&rft_id=info:doi/10.3982/TE3843&rft_dat=%3Cgale_proqu%3EA737048835%3C/gale_proqu%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=2526468786&rft_id=info:pmid/&rft_galeid=A737048835&rfr_iscdi=true