Dynamic Reliability Assessment of PEM Fuel Cell Systems

•A dynamic reliability model of a PEM fuel cell system is developed.•The model combines physical and stochastic sub-models.•The results show the influence of purging and load cycles on the cell lifetime. In this paper, a novel model for the dynamic reliability analysis of a polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cell system is developed to account for multi-state dynamics and ageing. The modelling approach involves the combination of physical and stochastic sub-models with shared variables. The physical model consists of deterministic calculations of the system state described by variables such as temperature, pressure, mass flow rates and voltage output. Additionally, estimated component degradation rates are also taken into account. The non-deterministic model is implemented with stochastic Petri nets which model the failures of the balance of plant components within the fuel cell system. Using this approach, the effects of the operating conditions on the reliability of the system were investigated. Monte Carlo simulations of the process highlighted a clear influence of both purging and load cycles on the longevity of the fuel cell system.