Dynamic changes in circulating PD-1+CD8+ T lymphocytes for predicting treatment response to PD-1 blockade in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer

The predictive value of immune monitoring with circulating CD8+ T lymphocytes for treatment response to programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) inhibitors has not been explored in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), prompting us to investigate whether dynamic changes in PD-1+CD8+ T lymphocytes have predictive value for durable clinical benefit (DCB) and survival after PD-1 blockade. Patients with recurrent and/or metastatic NSCLC treated with PD-1 inhibitors were enrolled (discovery cohort; n = 94). Peripheral blood was obtained immediately before and after one cycle of treatment with PD-1 blockade. Phenotyping of circulating CD8+ T lymphocytes was conducted using multi-colour flow cytometry. Predictive values of dynamic changes in circulating PD-1+CD8+ T lymphocytes during the first cycle were validated in an independent cohort (validation cohort; n = 54) of a prospective trial with a PD-1 inhibitor (NCT03486119). Circulating PD-1+CD8+ T lymphocytes were enriched with effector/memory populations with elevated expression of activation- and exhaustion-related markers. Reduction in the frequency of PD-1+ cells among CD8+ T lymphocytes after one cycle of treatment was associated with a higher probability of DCB and superior survival outcomes in the discovery cohort. Similar results were obtained in the analysis of tumour antigen NY-ESO-1-specific CD8+ T lymphocytes and the validation cohort. Mechanistically, PD-1 molecule expression on CD8+ T lymphocytes suppresses the effector functions of tumour antigen-specific CD8+ T lymphocytes. Dynamic changes in circulating PD-1+CD8+ T lymphocytes predict clinical, and survival benefit from PD-1 blockade treatment in NSCLC, providing a useful tool to identify patient subgroups who will optimally benefit from PD-1 inhibitors. •Current biomarkers for PD-1 blockade are suboptimal and require invasive procedures.•Reduction of PD-1+ cells in CD8+ T lymphocytes predicts favourable treatment outcomes.•Suppressive function of circulating PD-1+CD8+ T lymphocytes was uncovered.