New intervention model to eliminate the spread of trachoma in hyper-endemic community: Based on a mathematical model
•The highest transmission of trachoma is from adults to pre-school aged children.•Treating only preschool aged children can eliminate trachoma locally from a hyper-endemic community.•If mass treatment for preschool children is discontinued, trachoma will slowly return to the community.•A further bia...
Gespeichert in:
Veröffentlicht in: | Applied Mathematical Modelling 2021-02, Vol.90, p.568-581 |
---|---|
Hauptverfasser: | , , |
Format: | Artikel |
Sprache: | eng |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Tags: |
Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
|
Zusammenfassung: | •The highest transmission of trachoma is from adults to pre-school aged children.•Treating only preschool aged children can eliminate trachoma locally from a hyper-endemic community.•If mass treatment for preschool children is discontinued, trachoma will slowly return to the community.•A further biannual mass treatment for preschool aged children can sustainably eliminate trachoma.
The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends periodic mass antibiotic distributions to reduce clinically active trachoma to some threshold, below which scarring and blindness would never occur or at least would become so rare that trachoma would no longer be a major public health problem. According to the WHO recommendation, the antibiotic mass distribution should be administered annually in meso-endemic communities and biannually in hyper-endemic communities. However, there are options that target particular section of the community especially the core groups, pre-school age individuals. In this study, we used mathematical model to test the theoretical possibilities of locally eradicating trachoma by treating only pre-school age children. Thus, we formulated and analysed a simple deterministic model for the spread of trachoma disease with age dependent rate of transmission in the society. It is shown that treating the core group (the pre-school aged children) using oral azithromycin periodically, every three months for four years, can eliminate trachoma locally from the community. However, since the disease can be reintroduced to the population from the neighboring communities, a further biannual mass treatment only for pre-school aged children is required to eliminate the infection sustainably from the population. |
---|---|
ISSN: | 0307-904X 1088-8691 0307-904X |
DOI: | 10.1016/j.apm.2020.09.013 |