Distinguishing between breaks in the mean and breaks in persistence under long memory

A procedure to discriminate between stationarity, a break in the mean and a break in persistence in a time series that may exhibit long memory is introduced. The asymptotic properties of test statistics based on the CUSUM statistic are studied. In a Monte Carlo study we further analyze the finite sa...

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Veröffentlicht in:Economics letters 2020-08, Vol.193, p.109338, Article 109338
Hauptverfasser: Wingert, Simon, Mboya, Mwasi Paza, Sibbertsen, Philipp
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Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:A procedure to discriminate between stationarity, a break in the mean and a break in persistence in a time series that may exhibit long memory is introduced. The asymptotic properties of test statistics based on the CUSUM statistic are studied. In a Monte Carlo study we further analyze the finite sample properties of the procedure. An application to inflation rates shows the potential of our procedure for future research. •A two-step procedure to distinguish breaks in mean and breaks in persistence under long memory is introduced.•The procedure employs a CUSUM-based test statistic.•The finite sample properties of the procedure are studied by a Monte Carlo simulation.
ISSN:0165-1765
1873-7374
DOI:10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109338