Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2
In this article we considered the extreme temperatures, precipitation and UV-B radiation in Vojvodina region, Serbia. We describe the actual climate conditions for the period 1981?2007 and applied a dynamic downscaling technique using the EBU-POM regional coupled climate model under the SRES-A2 scen...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Thermal science 2015, Vol.19 (suppl. 2), p.289-298 |
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Format: | Artikel |
Sprache: | eng |
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Zusammenfassung: | In this article we considered the extreme temperatures, precipitation and
UV-B radiation in Vojvodina region, Serbia. We describe the actual climate
conditions for the period 1981?2007 and applied a dynamic downscaling
technique using the EBU-POM regional coupled climate model under the SRES-A2
scenario to assess the changes for the period 2021-2100. The results indicate
that a warmer and drier climate in the Vojvodina region can be expected at
the end of the century. Projection of climate indicates to a strong increase
in the mean annual minimum temperatures, and much smaller increase in the
mean annual maximum temperatures. The increase of both extreme temperatures
is predicted to be the highest in the winter and the lowest in the summer.
Mean annual precipitation is projected to increase toward the end of the
first half of the 21st century and to decrease for the last 30 years of the
21st century. Precipitation amount will be the highest during the winter and
spring. The model simulations show that, by the end of this century, annual
mean UV-B dose will recover by 5.2%. Recovery will be faster in the first
half of the 21st century and more slowly later on. The UV-B doses recovery is
expected to be the highest during the autumn and spring. |
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ISSN: | 0354-9836 2334-7163 |
DOI: | 10.2298/TSCI141207031M |