Quantifying the Performance of Geomagnetically Induced Current Models

We describe a metric that has been repeatedly applied to assess the performance of models aimed at predicting geomagnetically induced currents from Space Weather events. The used parameterization, based on the well‐known root‐mean‐square error between model and observations, is simple and intuitive....

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Space Weather 2019-07, Vol.17 (7), p.941-949
Hauptverfasser: Marsal, S., Torta, J.M.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:Volltext
Tags: Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:We describe a metric that has been repeatedly applied to assess the performance of models aimed at predicting geomagnetically induced currents from Space Weather events. The used parameterization, based on the well‐known root‐mean‐square error between model and observations, is simple and intuitive. Its use is exemplified, and its advantages and disadvantages are discussed, as well as its relationship with the widely extended correlation coefficient, r. Although the use of r alone is inappropriate for purposes of evaluating the agreement between model and observations, its use is recommended to complement the described performance parameter. Key Points Use of a performance parameter based on the root‐mean‐square error as accuracy metric is recommended to assess the skill of GIC models Use of the correlation coefficient alone is discouraged, though combination with the model performance provides useful information
ISSN:1542-7390
1539-4964
1542-7390
DOI:10.1029/2019SW002208