GAUSSIAN APPROXIMATION OF MAXIMA OF WIENER FUNCTIONALS AND ITS APPLICATION TO HIGH-FREQUENCY DATA
This paper establishes an upper bound for the Kolmogorov distance between the maximum of a high-dimensional vector of smooth Wiener functionals and the maximum of a Gaussian random vector. As a special case, we show that the maximum of multiple Wiener–Itô integrals with common orders is well approxi...
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Veröffentlicht in: | The Annals of statistics 2019-06, Vol.47 (3), p.1663-1687 |
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description | This paper establishes an upper bound for the Kolmogorov distance between the maximum of a high-dimensional vector of smooth Wiener functionals and the maximum of a Gaussian random vector. As a special case, we show that the maximum of multiple Wiener–Itô integrals with common orders is well approximated by its Gaussian analog in terms of the Kolmogorov distance if their covariance matrices are close to each other and the maximum of the fourth cumulants of the multiple Wiener–Itô integrals is close to zero. This may be viewed as a new kind of fourth moment phenomenon, which has attracted considerable attention in the recent studies of probability. This type of Gaussian approximation result has many potential applications to statistics. To illustrate this point, we present two statistical applications in high-frequency financial econometrics: One is the hypothesis testing problem for the absence of lead-lag effects and the other is the construction of uniform confidence bands for spot volatility. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1214/18-aos1731 |
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As a special case, we show that the maximum of multiple Wiener–Itô integrals with common orders is well approximated by its Gaussian analog in terms of the Kolmogorov distance if their covariance matrices are close to each other and the maximum of the fourth cumulants of the multiple Wiener–Itô integrals is close to zero. This may be viewed as a new kind of fourth moment phenomenon, which has attracted considerable attention in the recent studies of probability. This type of Gaussian approximation result has many potential applications to statistics. To illustrate this point, we present two statistical applications in high-frequency financial econometrics: One is the hypothesis testing problem for the absence of lead-lag effects and the other is the construction of uniform confidence bands for spot volatility.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0090-5364</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 2168-8966</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1214/18-aos1731</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Hayward: Institute of Mathematical Statistics</publisher><subject>Approximation ; Confidence ; Covariance matrix ; Econometrics ; Hypothesis testing ; Integrals ; Mathematical analysis ; Normal distribution ; Statistical analysis ; Upper bounds ; Volatility</subject><ispartof>The Annals of statistics, 2019-06, Vol.47 (3), p.1663-1687</ispartof><rights>Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 2019</rights><rights>Copyright Institute of Mathematical Statistics Jun 2019</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c383t-6f0d0208450550d24dd20a50c55ebe2534d9f6a18d2c6649cfa20d5362c46cc43</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c383t-6f0d0208450550d24dd20a50c55ebe2534d9f6a18d2c6649cfa20d5362c46cc43</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/26730437$$EPDF$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/26730437$$EHTML$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,799,828,27901,27902,57992,57996,58225,58229</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Koike, Yuta</creatorcontrib><title>GAUSSIAN APPROXIMATION OF MAXIMA OF WIENER FUNCTIONALS AND ITS APPLICATION TO HIGH-FREQUENCY DATA</title><title>The Annals of statistics</title><description>This paper establishes an upper bound for the Kolmogorov distance between the maximum of a high-dimensional vector of smooth Wiener functionals and the maximum of a Gaussian random vector. 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To illustrate this point, we present two statistical applications in high-frequency financial econometrics: One is the hypothesis testing problem for the absence of lead-lag effects and the other is the construction of uniform confidence bands for spot volatility.</description><subject>Approximation</subject><subject>Confidence</subject><subject>Covariance matrix</subject><subject>Econometrics</subject><subject>Hypothesis testing</subject><subject>Integrals</subject><subject>Mathematical analysis</subject><subject>Normal distribution</subject><subject>Statistical analysis</subject><subject>Upper bounds</subject><subject>Volatility</subject><issn>0090-5364</issn><issn>2168-8966</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2019</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNo9kM1Pg0AQxTdGE2v14t1kE28m6Owny3FDoSWhUAtEPRFcILFRadn24H8vBONpZjK_Ny_zELol8Ego4U9EOVVnicvIGZpRIpWjPCnP0QzAA0cwyS_RlbU7ABAeZzNULXWRZZFOsN5stulrtNZ5lCY4DfFaj9PYvURBEmxxWCT-uNRxhnWywFGejao48idNnuJVtFw54TZ4LoLEf8MLnetrdNFWn7a5-atzVIRB7q-cOF0OytgxTLGjI1uogYLiAoSAmvK6plAJMEI07w0VjNdeKyuiamqk5J5pKwr18BE1XBrD2RzdT3f3fXc4NfZY7rpT_z1YlpQK4gIoOVIPE2X6ztq-act9__FV9T8lgXKMsCSq1Gk2RjjAdxO8s8eu_yepdBlw5rJfddljhw</recordid><startdate>20190601</startdate><enddate>20190601</enddate><creator>Koike, Yuta</creator><general>Institute of Mathematical Statistics</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>JQ2</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20190601</creationdate><title>GAUSSIAN APPROXIMATION OF MAXIMA OF WIENER FUNCTIONALS AND ITS APPLICATION TO HIGH-FREQUENCY DATA</title><author>Koike, Yuta</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c383t-6f0d0208450550d24dd20a50c55ebe2534d9f6a18d2c6649cfa20d5362c46cc43</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2019</creationdate><topic>Approximation</topic><topic>Confidence</topic><topic>Covariance matrix</topic><topic>Econometrics</topic><topic>Hypothesis testing</topic><topic>Integrals</topic><topic>Mathematical analysis</topic><topic>Normal distribution</topic><topic>Statistical analysis</topic><topic>Upper bounds</topic><topic>Volatility</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Koike, Yuta</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Computer Science Collection</collection><jtitle>The Annals of statistics</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Koike, Yuta</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>GAUSSIAN APPROXIMATION OF MAXIMA OF WIENER FUNCTIONALS AND ITS APPLICATION TO HIGH-FREQUENCY DATA</atitle><jtitle>The Annals of statistics</jtitle><date>2019-06-01</date><risdate>2019</risdate><volume>47</volume><issue>3</issue><spage>1663</spage><epage>1687</epage><pages>1663-1687</pages><issn>0090-5364</issn><eissn>2168-8966</eissn><abstract>This paper establishes an upper bound for the Kolmogorov distance between the maximum of a high-dimensional vector of smooth Wiener functionals and the maximum of a Gaussian random vector. As a special case, we show that the maximum of multiple Wiener–Itô integrals with common orders is well approximated by its Gaussian analog in terms of the Kolmogorov distance if their covariance matrices are close to each other and the maximum of the fourth cumulants of the multiple Wiener–Itô integrals is close to zero. This may be viewed as a new kind of fourth moment phenomenon, which has attracted considerable attention in the recent studies of probability. This type of Gaussian approximation result has many potential applications to statistics. To illustrate this point, we present two statistical applications in high-frequency financial econometrics: One is the hypothesis testing problem for the absence of lead-lag effects and the other is the construction of uniform confidence bands for spot volatility.</abstract><cop>Hayward</cop><pub>Institute of Mathematical Statistics</pub><doi>10.1214/18-aos1731</doi><tpages>25</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | Approximation Confidence Covariance matrix Econometrics Hypothesis testing Integrals Mathematical analysis Normal distribution Statistical analysis Upper bounds Volatility |
title | GAUSSIAN APPROXIMATION OF MAXIMA OF WIENER FUNCTIONALS AND ITS APPLICATION TO HIGH-FREQUENCY DATA |
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