The cost-effectivess of fluconazole prophylaxis against primary systemic fungal infections in AIDS patients

OBJECTIVE: To project the cost-effectiveness of fluconazole for prophylaxis against AIDS-related primary systemic fungal infections. DESIGN: A Markov model with data from the literature. PATIENTS: Hypothetical cohort of 100,000 AIDS patients. INTERVENTION: No prophylaxis, and fluconazole prophylaxis beginning when a patient's CD4 count declined to below 200/mm3, below 100/mm3, or below 50/mm3. RESULTS: The no-prophylaxis policy was associated with a discounted life expectancy of 28.20 months and direct medical costs of $36,100 per person. The 200/mm3 strategy increased costs to $40,500 and life expectancy to 28.42 months, producing a ratio of $240,000 per year of life saved (YLS). Compared with the no-prophylaxis and 200/mm3 policies, the intermediate alternatives were less economically efficient. A reduction in fluconazole's cost from $206 to $80 decreased the ratio to $50,000 for the 200/mm3 strategy. Doubling fungal infection incidence lowered this ratio to $96,000/YLS. CONCLUSIONS: Fluconazole prophylaxis is unlikely to be cost-effective unless its cost is lowered, or it is focused on patients in regions endemic for fungal infections.