A budget for the size of convective self‐aggregation

There is no consensus on the physical mechanisms controlling the scale at which convective activity organizes near the Equator. Here, we introduce a diagnostic framework relating the evolution of the length‐scale of convective aggregation to the net radiative heating, the surface enthalpy flux, and horizontal energy transport. We evaluate these expansion tendencies of convective aggregation in 20 high‐resolution cloud‐permitting simulations of radiative‐convective equilibrium. While both radiative fluxes contribute to convective aggregation, the net long‐wave radiative flux operates at large scales (1,000–5,000 km) and stretches the size of moist and dry regions, while the net short‐wave flux operates at smaller scales (500–2,000 km) and shrinks it. The surface flux expansion tendency is dominated by convective gustiness, which acts to aggregate convective activity at smaller scales (500–3,000 km). Hovmöller diagram of the frozen moist static energy spatial anomaly H′ (in MJ/m2) for the three MD experiments and the control LC300 CAM experiment. The vertical axis is time (in days) and the horizontal axis is x (in 1,000 km). The anomaly has been spatially averaged in the y‐direction. The distance between the left vertical axis and the thick, black line represents the one‐dimensional time‐varying convective aggregation length‐scale L(t) (in 1,000 km).