Survival analysis of fatigue data: Application of generalized linear models and hierarchical Bayesian model

•The survival analysis is introduced to describe the fatigue failure process.•Generalized linear model has been established for the P-S-N curves estimation.•A hierarchical Bayesian model is employed to estimate the parameters in the model.•The fatigue design curves are described by a shape-fixed Wei...

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Veröffentlicht in:International journal of fatigue 2018-12, Vol.117, p.39-46
Hauptverfasser: Liu, Xiao-Wei, Lu, Da-Gang
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:•The survival analysis is introduced to describe the fatigue failure process.•Generalized linear model has been established for the P-S-N curves estimation.•A hierarchical Bayesian model is employed to estimate the parameters in the model.•The fatigue design curves are described by a shape-fixed Weibull survivor function. The survival analysis is introduced to describe the fatigue failure process in this paper for obtaining a set of flexible and accurate probabilistic stress-life (P-S-N) curves in fatigue reliability analysis. The generalized linear models (GLMs) are applied as well for expressing a trend and random errors of the P-S-N curves simultaneously. A GLM, including a linear Basquin relation and a shape-fixed Weibull hazard function, has been established for the P-S-N curves estimation, then a hierarchical Bayesian model is employed to estimate their parameters. The fatigue probability design curves are generated by the survivor function or the resulting predictive distributions. Finally, a comparative example is presented to verify the effectiveness of the method.
ISSN:0142-1123
1879-3452
DOI:10.1016/j.ijfatigue.2018.07.027