Drought characteristics over China during 1980–2015

The self‐calibrating Palmer drought severity index (scPDSI) was computed based on the four atmospheric reanalysis data sets combined with observational data over China during 1980–2015. The discrepancies of scPDSI among the four reanalysis data sets show the necessity of integrating multiple data se...

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Veröffentlicht in:International journal of climatology 2018-07, Vol.38 (9), p.3532-3545
Hauptverfasser: Shao, Dongguo, Chen, Shu, Tan, Xuezhi, Gu, Wenquan
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:The self‐calibrating Palmer drought severity index (scPDSI) was computed based on the four atmospheric reanalysis data sets combined with observational data over China during 1980–2015. The discrepancies of scPDSI among the four reanalysis data sets show the necessity of integrating multiple data sets. Drought characteristics, such as drought area, severity, duration, and frequency were examined based on multi‐data set mean scPDSI. The results reveal that significant drying trends are found in Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau, southwest, southeast and entire China. Drought area (drought severity) has increased (decreased) by about 1.16% (0.015%) per decade over entire China. Trends in drought duration, temporally averaged severity and frequency also indicate that droughts become more serious in each region during the past 36 years. The identification of drought events in each month by the clustering algorithm shows that droughts over China are more and more frequent. In addition, 65 separate drought events with the duration longer than 3 months were identified under the area threshold of 150,000 km2. Through severity‐area‐duration analysis, the 2005–2015 drought is found to be the prominent event. Significant drying trends are found in Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau, southwest, southeast and entire China during 1980–2015 based on self‐calibrating Palmer drought severity index (scPDSI) from several reanalysis data sets combined with observational data. Drought area (drought severity) has increased (decreased) by about 1.16% (0.015%) per decade over entire China. The identification of drought events in each month by the clustering algorithm shows that droughts over China are more and more frequent.
ISSN:0899-8418
1097-0088
DOI:10.1002/joc.5515