Is the stock market predictable?

Is the stock market predictable?

Even though it is shown that weekly, monthly, or even quarterly movements in the stock market are not predictable, evidence suggests that long-horizon stock returns (one to 5 years) are at least partially predictable. The RP Model developed by Baylor professors Bill Reichenstein and Steve Rich seems...

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Veröffentlicht in:Baylor business review 1994-04, Vol.12 (1), p.11
Hauptverfasser: Rich, Steven P, Reichenstein, William R
Format: Magazinearticle
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Asset allocation
Dividends
Earnings per share
Forecasts
Investments
Rates of return
Return on investment
Risk premiums
Securities markets
Stock exchanges
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Zusammenfassung:Even though it is shown that weekly, monthly, or even quarterly movements in the stock market are not predictable, evidence suggests that long-horizon stock returns (one to 5 years) are at least partially predictable. The RP Model developed by Baylor professors Bill Reichenstein and Steve Rich seems to provide better predictions of future stock market returns.
ISSN:0739-1072