The Three Ps: Simple Tools for Monitoring Economic Cycles

One method for defining a cyclical upswing or downswing is by monitoring if movements are pronounced, pervasive, and persistent. Business analysts should differentiate between those caused by noise and cases reflecting a genuine direction shift to evaluate the significance of cyclic variations for e...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Business economics (Cleveland, Ohio) Ohio), 1999-10, Vol.34 (4), p.72-76
1. Verfasser:	Banerji, Anirvan
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Business cycles Business economics Business forecasting Business planning Business plans Composite indices Diffusion index Economic aspects Economic fluctuations Economic growth Economic growth rate Economic indicators Economic recessions Expected values Growth rate Indexes Industrial cycles Noise Real time Series convergence Signal noise THE STATISTICS CORNER Time series
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Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:	One method for defining a cyclical upswing or downswing is by monitoring if movements are pronounced, pervasive, and persistent. Business analysts should differentiate between those caused by noise and cases reflecting a genuine direction shift to evaluate the significance of cyclic variations for economic indicators. This approach can be applied across different businesses and industries.
ISSN:	0007-666X 1554-432X