Performance prediction of full-scale ship and analysis by means of on-board monitoring (Part 1 ship performance prediction in actual seas)

In recent years, it has become important to evaluate whether ship propulsive performance achieves the design performance not only in a calm sea condition but also in a seaway. Various on-board monitoring systems have been developed and fitted on-board to check the performance of ships in a seaway. The evaluation can also be fed back to a new ship design. A method for prediction of ship performance in actual seas based on a physical model is described here. Prediction of steady forces in waves, wind forces, drift forces, and steering forces is described from the viewpoint of accurate practical prediction. The prediction of the engine operating point in winds and waves is also treated here. Examples of these prediction methods are illustrated. Performance analysis by an on-board monitoring system using the performance prediction method discussed here is described in the Part 2 of this paper.