A fuzzy approach to reliability based design of storm water drain network

This paper proposes an approach to estimate reliability of a storm water drain (SWD) network in fuzzy framework. It involves: (i) use of proposed fuzzy Monte-Carlo simulation (FMCS) methodology to estimate fuzzy reliability of conduits in the network, (ii) construction of a reliability block diagram...

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Veröffentlicht in:Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 2017-07, Vol.31 (5), p.1091-1106
Hauptverfasser: Gouri, R. L., Srinivas, V. V.
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description This paper proposes an approach to estimate reliability of a storm water drain (SWD) network in fuzzy framework. It involves: (i) use of proposed fuzzy Monte-Carlo simulation (FMCS) methodology to estimate fuzzy reliability of conduits in the network, (ii) construction of a reliability block diagram (RBD) for the network (system) using suggested guidelines, and (iii) use of the RBD and reliability estimates of the conduits in the network to compute system reliability based on a proposed procedure. In addition, a system reliability based methodology is proposed for design/retrofitting of SWD network by optimization of its conduit dimensions. Conventionally used reliability analysis approaches assume that the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of performance function (marginal safety) of conduits follows Gaussian distribution, which cannot be ensured in the real world scenario. The proposed approach alleviates the need for making such assumptions and can account for linguistic ambiguity in variables defining the performance function. Effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated on a hypothetical SWD network and a real network in Bangalore, India. Comparison of the results obtained from the proposed approach with those from conventional Monte-Carlo simulation (MCS) reliability assessment approach indicated that the estimate of system reliability and conduit reliability are higher with FMCS approach. Consequently, conduit dimensions required to attain required system (network) reliability could be expected to be lower when FMCS approach is used for designing or retrofitting a system.
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L. ; Srinivas, V. V.</creator><creatorcontrib>Gouri, R. L. ; Srinivas, V. V.</creatorcontrib><description>This paper proposes an approach to estimate reliability of a storm water drain (SWD) network in fuzzy framework. It involves: (i) use of proposed fuzzy Monte-Carlo simulation (FMCS) methodology to estimate fuzzy reliability of conduits in the network, (ii) construction of a reliability block diagram (RBD) for the network (system) using suggested guidelines, and (iii) use of the RBD and reliability estimates of the conduits in the network to compute system reliability based on a proposed procedure. In addition, a system reliability based methodology is proposed for design/retrofitting of SWD network by optimization of its conduit dimensions. Conventionally used reliability analysis approaches assume that the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of performance function (marginal safety) of conduits follows Gaussian distribution, which cannot be ensured in the real world scenario. The proposed approach alleviates the need for making such assumptions and can account for linguistic ambiguity in variables defining the performance function. Effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated on a hypothetical SWD network and a real network in Bangalore, India. Comparison of the results obtained from the proposed approach with those from conventional Monte-Carlo simulation (MCS) reliability assessment approach indicated that the estimate of system reliability and conduit reliability are higher with FMCS approach. 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L.</au><au>Srinivas, V. V.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>A fuzzy approach to reliability based design of storm water drain network</atitle><jtitle>Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment</jtitle><stitle>Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess</stitle><date>2017-07-01</date><risdate>2017</risdate><volume>31</volume><issue>5</issue><spage>1091</spage><epage>1106</epage><pages>1091-1106</pages><issn>1436-3240</issn><eissn>1436-3259</eissn><abstract>This paper proposes an approach to estimate reliability of a storm water drain (SWD) network in fuzzy framework. 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Effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated on a hypothetical SWD network and a real network in Bangalore, India. Comparison of the results obtained from the proposed approach with those from conventional Monte-Carlo simulation (MCS) reliability assessment approach indicated that the estimate of system reliability and conduit reliability are higher with FMCS approach. Consequently, conduit dimensions required to attain required system (network) reliability could be expected to be lower when FMCS approach is used for designing or retrofitting a system.</abstract><cop>Berlin/Heidelberg</cop><pub>Springer Berlin Heidelberg</pub><doi>10.1007/s00477-016-1299-2</doi><tpages>16</tpages></addata></record>
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subjects Ambiguity
Aquatic Pollution
Chemistry and Earth Sciences
Computational Intelligence
Computer Science
Computer simulation
Conduits
Design analysis
Design engineering
Design optimization
Drainage
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Environment
Estimates
Guidelines
Math. Appl. in Environmental Science
Mathematical models
Monte Carlo simulation
Network reliability
Normal distribution
Original Paper
Physics
Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes
Reliability analysis
Retrofitting
Safety
Statistics for Engineering
Stormwater
System reliability
Waste Water Technology
Water Management
Water Pollution Control
title A fuzzy approach to reliability based design of storm water drain network
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