A comment on ‘resolving spurious regressions and serially correlated errors’

In order to diminish size distortions of the t test in a time series linear specification, Agiakloglou (Agiakloglou in Empir Econ, 45(3):1361–1366, 2013 ) proposed to (1) include the first lag of the dependent variable as a regressor or (2) estimate it using the first differences of the variables. H...

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Veröffentlicht in:Empirical economics 2016-11, Vol.51 (3), p.1289-1298
Hauptverfasser: Ventosa-Santaulària, Daniel, Vera-Valdés, J. Eduardo, Martínez-Olmos, Alejandra I.
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Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:In order to diminish size distortions of the t test in a time series linear specification, Agiakloglou (Agiakloglou in Empir Econ, 45(3):1361–1366, 2013 ) proposed to (1) include the first lag of the dependent variable as a regressor or (2) estimate it using the first differences of the variables. He provided finite-sample evidence to support his proposal. In this paper, we extend the Monte Carlo experiment to different data-generating processes and calculate the asymptotic behavior of the modified specifications. We show that including the lag of the dependent variable as a regressor reduces size distortions when the variables are driftless unit roots, but this approach does not hold under the presence of long memory, nonlinearities, or structural breaks.
ISSN:0377-7332
1435-8921
DOI:10.1007/s00181-015-1035-7