How Do Predictions Affect Accuracy Perceptions? the Role of Depth of Information Analyses
Authors demonstrate that when a probability prediction is higher (vs. lower), consumers infer that the prediction is more accurate as it signals that the forecaster has conducted a more in depth analysis of the available information. Consequently, the forecaster is also judged as more reliable. Mode...
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Format: | Tagungsbericht |
Sprache: | eng |
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Zusammenfassung: | Authors demonstrate that when a probability prediction is higher (vs. lower), consumers infer that the prediction is more accurate as it signals that the forecaster has conducted a more in depth analysis of the available information. Consequently, the forecaster is also judged as more reliable. Moderators and consequences are studied. |
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ISSN: | 0098-9258 |