Why are aggressive mortgage products bad for the housing market?

•We replicate a negative relation between nontraditional mortgage products and real estate markets during the crisis period.•We estimate the impact of price and other characteristics of these mortgage products on house price declines.•We find that other characteristics are responsible for the impact...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of economics and business 2016-03, Vol.84, p.148-161
Hauptverfasser: Davidson, Andrew, Levin, Alex, Pavlov, Andrey D., Wachter, Susan M.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:•We replicate a negative relation between nontraditional mortgage products and real estate markets during the crisis period.•We estimate the impact of price and other characteristics of these mortgage products on house price declines.•We find that other characteristics are responsible for the impact of these mortgage products on house price declines.•We find that price of credit across states has a small statistically significant effect on market share of these mortgages.•We discuss the policy implications of nontraditional mortgage products. In this paper we identify the relationship of the pricing of residential mortgage lending products to their market share during the run up to the financial crisis of 2007. We then use this relationship to decompose the total impact of nontraditional mortgage products on house price declines during the crisis into impact due to their pricing and due to other characteristics. Using alternative measures of mortgage pricing, we document that pricing has a statistically significant but small impact on the difference in market share of nontraditional mortgage products by State. We further document that factors which lead to the increased market share of nontraditional products other than pricing are likely responsible for the impact of those products on the house price declines during the crisis. Our findings imply that going forward underwriting standards and other characteristics of nontraditional mortgage products should be monitored and regulated.
ISSN:0148-6195
1879-1735
DOI:10.1016/j.jeconbus.2016.02.007