Impact of new antiretroviral combination therapies in HIV infected patients in Switzerland: prospective multicentre study

Abstract Objectives: To examine trends in disease progression and survival among patients enrolled in the Swiss HIV cohort study during 1988–96 and to assess the influence of new antiretroviral combination therapies. Design: Prospective multicentre study, with follow up visits planned at six monthly intervals. Setting: Seven HIV units at university centres and cantonal hospitals in Switzerland. Patients: 3785 men (mean age 35.0 years) and 1391 women (30.3 years) infected with HIV. 2023 participants had a history of intravenous drug misuse; 1764 were men who had sex with men; 1261 were infected heterosexually; and 164 had other or unknown modes of transmission. 601 participants had had an AIDS defining illness. Results: During more than 15 000 years of follow up, there were 1456 first AIDS defining diagnoses and 1903 deaths. Compared with those enrolled during 1988-90, the risk of progression to a first AIDS diagnosis was reduced by 18% (relative risk 0.82 (95% confidence interval 0.73 to 0.93)) among participants enrolled in 1991-2, by 23% (0.77 (0.65 to 0.91)) among those enrolled in 1993-4, and by 73% (0.27 (0.18 to 0.39)) among those enrolled in 1995-6. Mortality was reduced by 19% (0.81 (0.73 to 0.90)), 26% (0.74 (0.63 to 0.87)), and 62% (0.38 (0.25 to 0.97)) respectively. Compared with no antiretroviral treatment, the risk of an initial AIDS diagnosis after CD4 lymphocyte counts fell to