"Interest Rate Trap", or Why Does the Central Bank Keep the Policy Rate Too Low for Too Long?

In this paper, we provide a framework for modeling one risk-taking channel of monetary policy, the mechanism whereby financial intermediaries' incentives for liquidity transformation are affected by the central bank's reaction to a financial crisis. The anticipation of the central bank...

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Veröffentlicht in:The Scandinavian journal of economics 2015-10, Vol.117 (4), p.1256-1280
Hauptverfasser: Cao, Jin, Illing, Gerhard
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:In this paper, we provide a framework for modeling one risk-taking channel of monetary policy, the mechanism whereby financial intermediaries' incentives for liquidity transformation are affected by the central bank's reaction to a financial crisis. The anticipation of the central bank's reaction to liquidity stress gives banks incentives to invest in excessive liquidity transformation, triggering an "interest rate trap" - the economy will remain stuck in a long-lasting period of suboptimal, low interest rate equilibrium. We demonstrate that interest rate policy as a financial stabilizer is dynamically inconsistent, and the constrained efficient outcome can be implemented by imposing ex ante liquidity requirements.
ISSN:0347-0520
1467-9442
DOI:10.1111/sjoe.12118