Macro-social determinants and public health risks in Russia's regions

This article presents the results of the comprehensive analysis of the macro-economic factors that determine the medical and demographic situation in Russia, using the methods of mathematical modeling. The authors have constructed regression models to determine the proportional contribution of macro-social determinants to a negative deviation of population health indicators. The authors have carried out the cluster analysis and highlighted six types of territories with similar socio-economic and demographic situation. They have also calculated additional cases of general and infant mortality determined by macroeconomic factors for each type of territories. In addition, the authors have assessed health risks associated with the effect of social factors at the macro-level.