Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates/Mora et al. reply

The question of when the signal of climate change will emerge from the background noise of climate variability-the 'time of emergence'- is potentially important for adaptation planning. Mora et al.1 presented precise projections of the time of emergence of unprecedented regional climates....

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Nature (London) 2014-07, Vol.511 (7507), p.E3
Hauptverfasser: Hawkins, Ed, Anderson, Bruce, Diffenbaugh, Noah, Mahlstein, Irina, Betts, Richard, Hegerl, Gabi, Joshi, Manoj, Knutti, Reto, McNeall, Doug, Solomon, Susan, Sutton, Rowan, Syktus, Jozef, Vecchi, Gabriel, Mora, Camilo, Frazier, Abby G, Longman, Ryan J, Dacks, Rachel S, Walton, Maya M, Tong, Eric J, Sanchez, Joseph J, Kaiser, Lauren R, Stender, Yuko O, Anderson, James M, Ambrosino, Christine M, Fernandez-Silva, Iria, Giuseffi, Louise M, Giambelluca, Thomas W
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:Volltext
Tags: Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:The question of when the signal of climate change will emerge from the background noise of climate variability-the 'time of emergence'- is potentially important for adaptation planning. Mora et al.1 presented precise projections of the time of emergence of unprecedented regional climates. However, their methodology produces artificially early dates at which specific regions will permanently experience unprecedented climates and artificially low uncertainty in those dates everywhere.
ISSN:0028-0836
1476-4687