Exchange risk and unanticipated changes in exchange rates

In this paper exchange risk is defined as the unanticipated part of the future changes in the exchange rates of a given currency. The unanticipated component in the fluctuations of a given currency is identified on the basis of a dynamic equilibrium process which determines the anticipated changes i...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of banking & finance 1978-10, Vol.2 (3), p.269-280
Hauptverfasser: Agmon, Tamir, Arad, Ruth
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:In this paper exchange risk is defined as the unanticipated part of the future changes in the exchange rates of a given currency. The unanticipated component in the fluctuations of a given currency is identified on the basis of a dynamic equilibrium process which determines the anticipated changes in the future exchange rates. Following the basic definition, a hypothetical process of dynamic adjustment and an empirical illustration of a possible estimation are discussed.
ISSN:0378-4266
1872-6372
DOI:10.1016/0378-4266(78)90016-X