Spatial distribution, and predictors of late initiation of first antenatal care visit in Ethiopia: Spatial and multilevel analysis

Despite the proven benefit of early initiation of first antenatal care visits as a means to achieve good maternal and neonatal health outcomes through early detection and prevention of risks during pregnancy, shreds of evidence showed that most of the women in Ethiopia start their ANC visits lately. To determine the spatial distribution and predictors of late initiation of first antenatal care visits among reproductive-age women in Ethiopia. The 2019 Ethiopian Mini Demographic and Health Survey (EMDHS) data were used. A total weighted sample of 2,935 reproductive-age women who gave birth in the five years preceding the survey and who had antenatal care visits for their last child was included. To check the nature of the distribution of late initiation of ANC visits, the global Moran's I statistics were applied. Gettis-OrdGi statistics and spatial interpolation using the Ordinary Kriging method were done to identify the spatial locations and to predict unknown locations of late initiation of first ANC visits, respectively. For the predictors, a multilevel mixed-effect logistic regression model was applied. Finally, statistical significance was declared at a p-value < 0.05. The prevalence of late initiation of first ANC visits in Ethiopia was 62.6%. The spatial analysis showed that the late initiation of first ANC visits significantly varied across regions of Ethiopia. The spatial interpolation predicted the highest rates of late initiation of first ANC visits in the eastern SNNPRs, southern and western Oromia, and some parts of the Somalia region. Being rural residents, attending higher education, having medium wealth status, richer wealth status, richest wealth status, having ≥ 5 family size, a household headed by male, living in SNNPRs, and Oromia regions were significant predictors of late initiation of first ANC visits. A clustered pattern of areas with high rates of late initiation of the first ANC visit was detected in Ethiopia. Public health intervention targeting the identified hotspot areas, and women's empowerment would decrease the late start of the first ANC visit. Furthermore, the identified predictors should be underscored when designing new policies and strategies.