Incidence and risk factors for Graves' orbitopathy in patients who underwent anti-inflammatory and immunosuppressive treatment during medical treatment for Graves' disease : investigation of 1,553 cases with newly diagnosed Graves' disease and proposal of a predictive score

[Abstract.] Appropriate administration of anti-inflammatory and immunosuppressive treatment (AIIST) is important for patients with Graves' orbitopathy (GO). This study aimed to clarify the incidence and risk factors for GO treated with AIIST and propose a predictive score, among newly diagnosed Graves' disease (GD) patients in Japan. A total of 1,553 GD patients who were newly diagnosed during the year 2011 were investigated. AIIST included local and/or systemic glucocorticoid administration and retrobulbar irradiation. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was used to investigate the risk factors for GO underwent AIIST during medical treatment, including at diagnosis, of GD. Then, a GO score was created by summing each point assigned to risk factors based on their coefficient obtained in the Cox model. AIIST was administered to 107 patients (6.9%). The risk factors and hazard ratios for GO underwent AIIST were: age (per 10 years), 1.32 (95% confidence interval: 1.16-1.50), p