경동맥화학색전술 불응성인 Child-Pugh Class A 간세포암 환자의 간기능 악화에 대한 위험인자

Background/Aims: A switch to systemic therapy, such as sorafenib, should be considered for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) pa­tients refractory to transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). On the other hand, treatment changes are difficult if the liver function worsens to Child-Pugh B or C. Therefore, predicting the risk factors for non-responsiveness to TACE and deteriorating liver function may be helpful. Methods: Newly diagnosed Child-Pugh A HCC patients who underwent TACE from January 2012 to June 2018 were included. After 1 year, this study evaluated whether there was a treatment response to TACE and whether the Child-Pugh class had worsened. Results: Among 121 patients, 65 were refractory and 56 responded to TACE. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, the tu­mor size, tumor number, and albumin at the time of the diagnosis of HCC were significant prognostic factors for the treatment re­sponse to TACE. Among 65 patients who presented TACE-refractoriness, 27 showed liver function deterioration from Child-Pugh class A to class B or C after TACE. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, bilirubin at the diagnosis of HCC was a significant prognostic factor for liver function deterioration. A predictive algorithm based on the regression equations revealed a sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of 74.1%, 74.5%, 45.5%, and 90.9%, respectively, for TACE-re­fractoriness and liver function deterioration. Conclusions: The prognostic model incorporating the tumor size, tumor number, albumin, and bilirubin at the diagnosis of HCC may help identify patients who show a poor response to TACE and aggravation of liver function after TACE, who may benefit from early switching into systemic therapy before liver function aggravation.