Succession of the Supreme Leader in the Longer Term

Although the most likely shorter-term outlook for the next Supreme Leader seems relatively clear, succession may very well not take place within the next few years. Ali Khamenei is 71 years old.¹ Shi’a ayatollahs tend to have a long average life span that extends into their 80s or 90s; Khamenei is r...

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
Hauptverfasser:	Alireza Nader, David E. Thaler, S. R. Bohandy
Format:	Buchkapitel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Age groups Ayatollahs Behavioral sciences Clergy Clerics Conservatism Democratic authority Democratic theory Demography Human behavior Leadership Organizational behavior Political elections Political ideologies Political philosophy Political processes Political science Political succession Politics Population studies Practical theology Prayer Presidential elections Religion Religious practices Social generations Social sciences Spiritual leaders Theology
Online-Zugang:	Volltext
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Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:	Although the most likely shorter-term outlook for the next Supreme Leader seems relatively clear, succession may very well not take place within the next few years. Ali Khamenei is 71 years old.¹ Shi’a ayatollahs tend to have a long average life span that extends into their 80s or 90s; Khamenei is relatively young by comparison. While he is rumored to have health problems, the current Supreme Leader could live a long life yet and could remain in his position for quite some time. Uncertainty about the succession increases exponentially the further into the future one looks. For one thing, the