Nonequilibrium physics meets time series analysis: Measuring probability currents from data

We present a simple method to estimate probability currents of stochastic systems from a given time series. The method uses results of the theory of stochastic differential equations about conditional averages. Evaluation of the probability current directly aims at detecting the violation of detaile...

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Veröffentlicht in:Europhysics letters 2003-04, Vol.62 (1), p.28-34
Hauptverfasser: Just, W, Kantz, H, Ragwitz, M, Schmüser, F
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:We present a simple method to estimate probability currents of stochastic systems from a given time series. The method uses results of the theory of stochastic differential equations about conditional averages. Evaluation of the probability current directly aims at detecting the violation of detailed balance and hence yields the proper characterisation of nonequilibrium behaviour. We apply our approach to stochastic resonance and propose a novel resonance criterion which is based on the evaluation of the probability current. It agrees well with other measures, e.g. derived from correlations or signal-to-noise ratios. Finally, we demonstrate on an example of experimental wind data that our approach copes with real experimental data sets as well.
ISSN:0295-5075
1286-4854
DOI:10.1209/epl/i2003-00359-2