Analysis of a Delayed SIR Epidemic Model

An SIR epidemic model with incubation time and saturated incidence rate is formulated, where the susceptibles are assumed to satisfy the logistic equation and the incidence term is of saturated form with the infective. Threshold quantity R 0 is derived which determines whether the disease dies out o...

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Hauptverfasser: Jin-Zhu Zhang, Jian-Jun Wang, Tie-Xiong Su, Zhen Jin
Format: Tagungsbericht
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:An SIR epidemic model with incubation time and saturated incidence rate is formulated, where the susceptibles are assumed to satisfy the logistic equation and the incidence term is of saturated form with the infective. Threshold quantity R 0 is derived which determines whether the disease dies out or remains endemic. If R 0 1, there will be an endemic and the disease is permanent if it initially exists.
DOI:10.1109/CASoN.2010.50