Prediction of Energy Consumption in Jiangsu Based on Combination Model

This paper first analyzes the construction and trend of the energy consumption in Jiangsu. And then a non-linear forecasting model and an ARMIMA model are established based on energy consumption data from 1985 to 2007. The two methods are connected to build a combination forecasting model. Finally t...

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
Hauptverfasser: Jibo Chen, Xiaorong Huang, Jie Li, Guizhi Wang
Format: Tagungsbericht
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
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Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:This paper first analyzes the construction and trend of the energy consumption in Jiangsu. And then a non-linear forecasting model and an ARMIMA model are established based on energy consumption data from 1985 to 2007. The two methods are connected to build a combination forecasting model. Finally the prediction results of the new model of future energy consumption are analyzed. The combination model shows a high credibility in prediction.
ISSN:2160-7443
DOI:10.1109/ICIC.2010.298