Improved prenatal assessment of kidney disease using multiple ultrasound features

Congenital anomalies of the kidney and the urinary tract (CAKUT), often discovered in utero, cover a wide spectrum of outcomes ranging from normal postnatal kidney function to fetal death. The current ultrasound workup does not allow for an accurate assessment of the outcome. The present study aimed to significantly improve the ultrasound-based prediction of postnatal kidney survival in CAKUT. Histological analysis of kidneys of 15 CAKUT fetuses was performed to better standardize the ultrasound interpretation of dysplasia and cysts. Ultrasound images of 140 CAKUT fetuses with 2-year postnatal follow-up were annotated for amniotic fluid volume and kidney number, size, dysplasia and/or cysts using standardized ultrasound readout. Association of ultrasound features and clinical data (sex and age at diagnosis) with postnatal kidney function was studied using logistic regression. Amniotic fluid proteome associated to kidney dysplasia or cysts was characterized by mass spectrometry. Histologically, poor ultrasound corticomedullary differentiation was associated to dysplastic lesions and ultrasound hyperechogenicity was associated to the presence of microcysts. Of all ultrasound and clinical parameters, reduced amniotic volume, dysplasia and cysts were the best predictors of poor outcome (Odd ratio = 57 [95%CI: 11-481], 20 [3-225] and 7 [1-100], respectively). Their combination into an algorithm improved prediction of postnatal kidney function compared to amniotic volume alone (area under the ROC curve = 0.92 [0.86-0.98] in a 10-fold cross validation). Dysplasia and cysts were correlated (Cramer's V coefficient = 0.44, p