An early post-transplant relapse prediction score in multiple myeloma: a large cohort study from the chronic malignancies working party of EBMT

Early relapse (ER) following Autologous Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation (AHCT) confers a poor prognosis. We therefore developed a novel scoring system to predict ER. A total of 14,367 AHCT-1 patients were transplanted between 2014 and 2019, and were conditioned with Melphalan 200 mg/m 2 (Mel200)...

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Veröffentlicht in:Bone marrow transplantation (Basingstoke) 2023-08, Vol.58 (8), p.916-923
Hauptverfasser: Beksac, Meral, Iacobelli, Simona, Koster, Linda, Cornelissen, Jan, Griskevicius, Laimonas, Rabin, Neil K., Stoppa, Anne Marie, Meijer, Ellen, Mear, Jean-Baptiste, Zeerleder, Sacha, Mayer, Jiri, Fenk, Roland, Fegueux, Nathalie, Chevallier, Patrice, Konirova, Eva, Snowden, John A., Engelhardt, Monika, Orchard, Kim, Hulin, Cyrille, Schaap, Nicolaas, Sossa, Claudia, Elmaagacli, Ahmet, McLornan, Donal P., Hayden, Patrick J., Schönland, Stefan, Yakoub-Agha, Ibrahim
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container_end_page 923
container_issue 8
container_start_page 916
container_title Bone marrow transplantation (Basingstoke)
container_volume 58
creator Beksac, Meral
Iacobelli, Simona
Koster, Linda
Cornelissen, Jan
Griskevicius, Laimonas
Rabin, Neil K.
Stoppa, Anne Marie
Meijer, Ellen
Mear, Jean-Baptiste
Zeerleder, Sacha
Mayer, Jiri
Fenk, Roland
Fegueux, Nathalie
Chevallier, Patrice
Konirova, Eva
Snowden, John A.
Engelhardt, Monika
Orchard, Kim
Hulin, Cyrille
Schaap, Nicolaas
Sossa, Claudia
Elmaagacli, Ahmet
McLornan, Donal P.
Hayden, Patrick J.
Schönland, Stefan
Yakoub-Agha, Ibrahim
description Early relapse (ER) following Autologous Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation (AHCT) confers a poor prognosis. We therefore developed a novel scoring system to predict ER. A total of 14,367 AHCT-1 patients were transplanted between 2014 and 2019, and were conditioned with Melphalan 200 mg/m 2 (Mel200) ( n  = 7228; 2014–2017) (training cohort); Mel200 ( n  = 5616; 2018–2019) or Mel140 ( n  = 1523; 2018–2019) (validation cohorts). PFS-12 and the Cumulative Incidence of Relapse at 12 months were 84.1% and 14.7% (training Mel200), 87.2% and 11.6% (validation Mel200), and 80.3% and 16.9% (validation Mel140), respectively. The points in the risk score were: 0, 1,2 for ISS stages I, II, and III; Disease status: 0 (CR/VGPR); 1 (PR); 2 (SD/MR); 4 (Relapse/Progression); and 1 for Karnofsky ≤ 70. The distribution of scores: 0 (24%), 1 (33.9%), 2 (29.6 %), 3 (9.5%), and ≥4 (2.7%). The score separated PFS-12, with the lowest risk group ( n  = 1752) having a PFS-12 of 91.7% and the highest risk group ( n  = 195) 57.1%. This also applied in cytogenetically high-risk patients. If the pre-score baseline risks are 15% (standard risk) and 25% (high-risk), a score of ≥4 confers calculated risks of 38% and 54%, respectively. This novel EBMT ER score, therefore, allows for the identification of five discrete prognostic groups.
doi_str_mv 10.1038/s41409-023-01999-1
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We therefore developed a novel scoring system to predict ER. A total of 14,367 AHCT-1 patients were transplanted between 2014 and 2019, and were conditioned with Melphalan 200 mg/m 2 (Mel200) ( n  = 7228; 2014–2017) (training cohort); Mel200 ( n  = 5616; 2018–2019) or Mel140 ( n  = 1523; 2018–2019) (validation cohorts). PFS-12 and the Cumulative Incidence of Relapse at 12 months were 84.1% and 14.7% (training Mel200), 87.2% and 11.6% (validation Mel200), and 80.3% and 16.9% (validation Mel140), respectively. The points in the risk score were: 0, 1,2 for ISS stages I, II, and III; Disease status: 0 (CR/VGPR); 1 (PR); 2 (SD/MR); 4 (Relapse/Progression); and 1 for Karnofsky ≤ 70. The distribution of scores: 0 (24%), 1 (33.9%), 2 (29.6 %), 3 (9.5%), and ≥4 (2.7%). The score separated PFS-12, with the lowest risk group ( n  = 1752) having a PFS-12 of 91.7% and the highest risk group ( n  = 195) 57.1%. This also applied in cytogenetically high-risk patients. If the pre-score baseline risks are 15% (standard risk) and 25% (high-risk), a score of ≥4 confers calculated risks of 38% and 54%, respectively. This novel EBMT ER score, therefore, allows for the identification of five discrete prognostic groups.</abstract><cop>London</cop><pub>Nature Publishing Group UK</pub><pmid>37160942</pmid><doi>10.1038/s41409-023-01999-1</doi><tpages>8</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1224-091X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4853-5579</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0405-1676</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1374-4503</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1797-8657</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6819-3476</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4524-8782</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3142-5581</orcidid></addata></record>
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identifier ISSN: 0268-3369
ispartof Bone marrow transplantation (Basingstoke), 2023-08, Vol.58 (8), p.916-923
issn 0268-3369
1476-5365
language eng
recordid cdi_hal_primary_oai_HAL_hal_04520275v1
source Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals; SpringerLink Journals - AutoHoldings
subjects 631/67/1990/804
692/699/1541/1990/804
Cell Biology
Cohort analysis
Hematology
Hematopoietic stem cells
Internal Medicine
Life Sciences
Malignancy
Medicine
Medicine & Public Health
Melphalan
Multiple myeloma
Public Health
Risk
Risk groups
Stem cell transplantation
Stem Cells
Training
Transplantation
Transplants & implants
title An early post-transplant relapse prediction score in multiple myeloma: a large cohort study from the chronic malignancies working party of EBMT
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