Prognostic factors and patterns of recurrence after emergency management for obstructing colon cancer: multivariate analysis from a series of 2120 patients

Purpose At equal TNM stage, obstructing colon cancer (OCC) is associated with worse prognosis in comparison with uncomplicated cancer. Our aim was to identify prognostic factors of overall (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in patients treated for OCC. Methods From 2000 to 2015, 2325 patients were treated for OCC in French surgical centers, members of the French National Surgical Association (AFC). Patients with palliative management were excluded. The main endpoints were OS and DFS. A multivariate analysis, using Cox proportional hazards regression model, was performed to determine independent prognostic factors. Results The cohort included 2120 patients. The median of follow-up was 13.2 months. In multivariate analysis, age > 75 years, ASA score ≥ 3, ECOG score ≥ 3, right-sided colon cancer, presence of synchronous metastases, anastomotic leakage, and absence of adjuvant chemotherapy were independent OS factors. Age > 75 years, ASA score ≥ 3, right-sided colon cancer, presence of synchronous metastases, and absence of postoperative chemotherapy were independent factors of poor OS after exclusion of patients who died postoperatively. Age ≥ 75 years, ASA score ≥ 3, ECOG score ≥ 3, right-sided colon cancer, lymph node involvement, presence of vascular, lymphatic or perineural invasion, less than 12 harvested lymph nodes, and absence of adjuvant chemotherapy were independent DFS factors. Conclusions Management of OCC should take into account prognostic factors related to the patient (age, comorbidities), tumor location, and tumor stage. Adjuvant chemotherapy administration plays an important role. For patients undergoing initial defunctionning stoma, neoadjuvant chemotherapy could be an option to improve prognosis.