Government Debt Control: Optimal Currency Portfolio and Payments

Motivated by empirical facts, we develop a theoretical model for optimal currency government debt portfolio and debt payments, which allows both government debt aversion and jumps in the exchange rates. We obtain first a realistic stochastic differential equation for public debt and then solve expli...

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Veröffentlicht in:Operations research 2015-09, Vol.63 (5), p.1044-1057
Hauptverfasser: Huamán-Aguilar, Ricardo, Cadenillas, Abel
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:Motivated by empirical facts, we develop a theoretical model for optimal currency government debt portfolio and debt payments, which allows both government debt aversion and jumps in the exchange rates. We obtain first a realistic stochastic differential equation for public debt and then solve explicitly the optimal currency debt problem. We show that higher debt aversion and jumps in the exchange rates lead to a lower proportion of optimal debt in foreign currencies. Furthermore, we show that for a government with extreme debt aversion it is optimal not to issue debt in foreign currencies. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first theoretical model that provides a rigorous explanation of why developing countries have reduced consistently their proportion of foreign debt in their debt portfolios.
ISSN:0030-364X
1526-5463
DOI:10.1287/opre.2015.1412