Epidemic and Spatial Dynamics of Lyme Disease in New York State, 1990–2000

Lyme disease (LD) occurrence in New York State (NYS) has not only increased over time but also spread throughout the state from the original disease focus in southeastern NYS. Few studies have investigated this epidemic and spatial dynamic in great detail. Using data from the NYS Department of Health Lyme Registry Surveillance System, we summarized epidemic and spatial characteristics of LD in NYS for the 11-yr time period from 1990 through 2000. New epidemiological trends associated with age, sex, and residential influences on LD over time were found. An empirical Bayes approach was used to produce maps of smoothed incidence at different time points to give a foundation for future state and local health funding plans and education programs. Keywords: empirical Bayes, epidemic, incidence, Lyme disease, spatial