Application of combined probabilistic control in gas turbine tuning for power output-emissions parameters with scaling factor, related control systems, computer program products and methods

Various embodiments include a system having: at least one computing device configured to tune a set of gas turbines (GTs) by performing actions including: modelling each GT in the set of GTs at a base load level, based upon a measured ambient condition for each GT; commanding each GT in the set of GTs to adjust a respective power output to match a scaled power output value equal to a fraction of a difference between the respective power output and a nominal power output value, and measuring an actual emissions value for each GT during the adjusting of the respective power output; and adjusting an operating condition of each GT in the set of GTs based upon a difference between the respective measured actual emissions value, a nominal emissions value at the ambient condition and a nominal emissions value at the ambient condition.