ADAPTIVE PERSISTENCE FORECASTING FOR CONTROL OF DISTRIBUTED ENERGY RESOURCES

A method of adaptive persistence forecasting includes receiving historical load values for a site with at least one component that consumes energy; receiving historical temperature values corresponding to dates of the historical load values; evaluating the historical load values and the historical t...

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
Hauptverfasser:	Ganger, David Wu, Tripathi, Abhinandan, Ghassempour Aghamolki, Hossein, Nair, Arun Sukumaran
Format:	Patent
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTINGELECTRIC POWER CONTROL OR REGULATING SYSTEMS IN GENERAL CONTROLLING CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER ELECTRICITY FUNCTIONAL ELEMENTS OF SUCH SYSTEMS GENERATION MONITORING OR TESTING ARRANGEMENTS FOR SUCH SYSTEMS ORELEMENTS PHYSICS REGULATING SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
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Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:	A method of adaptive persistence forecasting includes receiving historical load values for a site with at least one component that consumes energy; receiving historical temperature values corresponding to dates of the historical load values; evaluating the historical load values and the historical temperature values to determine a correlation coefficient; determining that there exists at least a threshold correlation between a load activity and temperature for the historical load values and the historical temperature values based on the correlation coefficient; in response to determining that there exists at least the threshold correlation, normalizing the historical load values based on a set temperature; and applying an adaptive seasonal persistence model to the normalized historical load values to output a forecast for use in controlling energy resources at the site.