DETERMINATION OF CALIBRATED MINIMUM HORIZONTAL STRESS MAGNITUDE USING FRACTURE CLOSURE PRESSURE AND MULTIPLE MECHANICAL EARTH MODEL REALIZATIONS

Earth models of stress conditions in subsurface reservoirs are formed reflecting rock mechanical properties, stress regime and also wellbore stability. A number of variables related to the rock mechanical properties and stress conditions are parameterized. The variability of minimum horizontal stress magnitudes as a product of the relative contributions of the various rock properties and input parameters or variables used to form the model is analyzed. Differences between predicted minimum horizontal stress magnitudes in the formation and an actual measure me obtained from the formation (for example, fracture closure pressure) are determined. The determined differences are the minimized through an optimization methodology to find a best set of parameters suitable to match the minimum horizontal stress to actual formation measurement.