FORECASTING AND EXPLAINING USER HEALTH METRICS

Systems and methods for forecasting and/or explaining health metrics are provided. In some embodiments, for example, a method for informing a user of at least one health factor contributing to a predicted health metric comprises receiving health data of the user, and calculating a plurality of features based on the health data. The features can be categorized into a plurality of feature groups. The method further includes generating a prediction of a health metric of the user by inputting the features into a machine learning model. The method can also include identifying at least one contributing health factor by selecting at least one feature group that provides a threshold contribution to the prediction, and determining a health factor associated with the at least one feature group. The method can include outputting a notification for the user including the prediction and the at least one contributing health factor.