CONCURRENT UNCERTAINTY MANAGEMENT SYSTEM

A system includes a physical layer that a plurality of data structures that represents a plurality of physical input data associated with product materials, assemblies, and operational use of a product of interest over various stages of product lifetime. The system includes reasoning model layer to process the data structures for the respective product stages to determine uncertainty descriptor data (UDD) for each product stage. The system includes a propagation layer that employs a plurality of virtual models that electronically describe each stage in the plurality of product stages with the UDD from each stage and propagates the UDD from each updated virtual model from each product stage between each of the plurality of virtual models across a network to mitigate compounding of error estimates across each product stage of the product lifetime to provide a product lifetime estimate.