Probabilistic determination of transformer end of life

A method of estimating future aging of a transformer includes generating probabilistic models of factors that affect effective aging of the transformer, generating probabilistic profiles of the factors that affect effective aging of the transformer based on the probabilistic models, generating expec...

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. Verfasser: Cheim, Luiz
Format: Patent
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:A method of estimating future aging of a transformer includes generating probabilistic models of factors that affect effective aging of the transformer, generating probabilistic profiles of the factors that affect effective aging of the transformer based on the probabilistic models, generating expected hot spot profiles from the probabilistic profiles, simulating a plurality of aging scenarios of the transformer based on the expected hot spot profiles and ambient temperature profiles, and estimating future aging of the transformer from the plurality of aging scenarios.