System and method for reducing acute incident risk

Systems and methods for reducing acute incident risks for dementia patients are provided. Benefits of the systems and methods include reducing healthcare costs, improving patient and caregiver outcomes and reducing caregiver burden. A server system analyzes data related to a dementia patient and the corresponding caregivers (e.g., family member, paid caregiver, physician) and calculates an acute incident risk. Based on the acute incident risk, the server system determines patient therapies to reduce the acute incident risk and also identifies caregiver education to improve the caregiver belief state, which reduces the acute incident risk. The system periodically re-calculates the acute incident risk and identifies patient therapies and caregiver education and motivation to further reduce or maintain the acute incident risk.