Systems, methods, and apparatuses for predicting availability of a resource

Techniques for predicting the availability of a resource are described. An exemplary method includes obtaining capacity data indicating an amount of capacity available in a cloud provider network to satisfy the request; generating, using a machine learning model that has been trained based at least in part on an output of an automated historical hindsight learner that is an integer linear program, an approval prediction, wherein the approval prediction indicates that the request is to be approved based on one or more launch parameters of the request and the capacity data; receiving information from a downstream component that controls the resource that the approval prediction is incorrect; and evaluating the incorrect approval prediction using a hindsight learner and predictor explainer.